NEW YORK —
The broader cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp acceleration on
December 3, 2025, led by a breakout rally in the Sui network’s native
token (SUI). The asset has surged between 20 and 28 percent over the
last 24 hours, significantly outperforming the wider digital asset index
following a major regulatory breakthrough in the United States.
The
rally comes against a backdrop of improving macroeconomic
conditions—with the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates later
this month—and a surprising show of resilience as the market absorbed a
massive token unlock event that many had feared would trigger a
sell-off.
Coinbase Listing Sparks New York Demand
The
primary catalyst for the price action was the authorization for
Coinbase to offer SUI trading to residents of New York. The state is
notoriously strict regarding digital assets, making approval there a
significant milestone for liquidity and legitimacy.
"Residents of New York can now access Sui on Coinbase," the Sui Network announced on December 1.
The
listing instantly opened the market to approximately 19.8 million
residents in the financial capital of the U.S., drastically reducing
friction for both retail and institutional capital. Market reports
indicate that the "green light" led to an immediate spike in activity,
with 24-hour trading volumes for SUI hitting $1.07 billion. Analysts
suggest this volume was bolstered by institutional accumulation via
Coinbase Prime, a stark contrast to the capital outflows seen recently
in other major crypto investment products.
Absorbing the Supply Shock
Perhaps
more impressive than the regulatory win was the market's ability to
absorb a significant supply shock. On December 1, the network unlocked
$86.86 million worth of vested tokens—the largest scheduled release for
the month.
Typically,
such an influx of supply creates bearish pressure. However, in a
classic "sell the rumor, buy the news" reversal, buyers stepped in
aggressively. On-chain data shows that net flows on exchanges turned
positive, and over $350 million in short positions were liquidated as
traders betting on a post-unlock crash were caught offside.
"Despite
the supply influx usually associated with bearish pressure, the New
York listing accelerated bullish bets on SUI, reversing the negative
sentiment that had set in prior to the unlock," noted one market
analysis.
Market Sentiment Shifts
Social
sentiment has swung rapidly from caution to optimism. On social
platforms, analysts highlighted the constructive volume dynamics
preceding the breakout. Market observer Trisha_Saha noted that SUI
volume increased significantly while selling pressure weakened, allowing
the price to advance steadily.
Viktoras
Karapetjanc, an expert at Traders Union, pointed to fundamental growth
as the bedrock for the move. "If SUI manages to regain $1.60 on growing
adoption, I expect buyers to return and drive the next leg up,"
Karapetjanc wrote, citing the network’s Total Value Locked (TVL)
surpassing $1 billion as a key fundamental driver.
Technical Outlook: Key Levels to Watch
Technical
analysis indicates that SUI has broken out of a "double bottom"
structure formed around $1.34. The asset has reclaimed its 30-day Simple
Moving Average (SMA) and decisively crossed above the median Keltner
Channel for the first time in three weeks.
Current Price Action:
SUI is consolidating in the $1.60 to $1.63 range. The Relative Strength
Index (RSI) has climbed from oversold territory (41) to nearly 58,
signaling growing momentum without yet being overbought.
Bullish Targets:
A sustained break above the immediate resistance at $1.6277 could open
the door to a test of the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at
$1.78. A decisive close above $1.92 would invalidate the bearish trend
seen in November, potentially targeting the October high of $2.72.
Downside Risks:
Investors are watching the $1.55 support level closely. A failure to
hold this zone could signal a "fake-out," risking a correction back
toward $1.47 or the baseline support at $1.31.
Fundamental Growth: TVL and Developer Activity
Underpinning
the price movement is robust on-chain activity. The network's Total
Value Locked has experienced explosive growth, rising from $250 million
in early 2024 to peak at $2.6 billion in October 2025. Despite a recent
dip in stablecoin reserves—down to $700 million from $1.2 billion amid
volatility—the network continues to process between 8 and 10 million
transaction blocks daily.
Developer
engagement has also surged, rising 219 percent to approximately 1,400
active monthly developers, suggesting long-term ecosystem viability
beyond short-term price speculation.
LATEST DEVELOPMENTS & MARKET CONTEXT
Macro Tailwinds
The
surge in SUI coincides with a broader "risk-on" sentiment in global
markets, driven by expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut
interest rates in December 2025. Lower rates typically benefit
speculative assets like cryptocurrencies as the cost of borrowing
decreases and liquidity enters the system.
Layer 1 Competition
SUI’s
performance is being closely watched as a proxy for the "Move-based"
blockchain sector. Its ability to absorb an $86 million unlock while
rallying suggests it is gaining market share against competitors like
Solana and Aptos. Analysts note that the New York approval gives SUI a
distinct regulatory advantage that many of its peers still lack in that
specific jurisdiction.
Institutional Access
The
Coinbase Prime integration for New York entities is critical. It allows
hedge funds and family offices domiciled in NY to hold SUI in compliant
custody. This infrastructure often precedes sustained institutional
inflows, which differ from the volatile flows of retail trading.
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS (FAQ)
Q: Why is the SUI price soaring?
A:
The surge is primarily driven by Coinbase receiving approval to list
SUI for New York residents, opening a major liquidity pipeline.
Additionally, the market successfully absorbed a large token unlock
event without the expected sell-off.
Q: Is the Sui network actually growing?
A:
Yes. Total accounts have grown by 900% over the last year. The network
processes billions of daily transactions, and 75% of SUI tokens are
currently staked, indicating a secure and active ecosystem.
Q: Can SUI reach $2.00 soon?
A:
It is possible. If SUI breaks the resistance at $1.92 (the November
high), analysts believe it could target $2.00 and potentially retest the
October peak of $2.72. This depends on broader market strength.
Q: Is SUI a good buy right now?
A:
SUI is showing strong momentum due to the Coinbase listing and
technical breakout. However, it faces major resistance near $1.78.
Analysts suggest waiting for a confirmed breakout above $1.62 or a
retest of support at $1.55 before entering to manage risk effectively.
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